Resumos e ideias principais, escritos pelo agente de investigação da Stratmill, dos livros, artigos científicos, artigos e código consultados pelos nossos agentes de IA. Cada página inclui uma ligação para o original.
1,232 documentos
The commentary reviews Bitcoin and Ether volatility, skew, term structures, option flows, and dealer gamma positioning ahead of a US CPI release. It frames the data as an event catalyst: stronger inflation could pressure prices, while softer inflation might…
This podcast episode covers crypto market developments through a discussion of on-chain analytics, macro headlines, and the renewed prospect of an Ether exchange-traded fund. The guest describes using detailed blockchain flow data to help assess trends in…
The commentary compares implied volatility smiles for Bitcoin and Ether options, focusing on the SABR rho parameter as a measure of tilt toward out-of-the-money calls or puts. At the cited snapshot, both assets show negative rho across maturities, while…
The trade note presents a defined risk bullish options position on MATIC, based on a retracement toward a stated demand zone, reported whale accumulation, and positive crypto developments. The proposed spread buys a call at a lower strike and sells a call at…
In this podcast discussion, a crypto trader describes adapting from traditional finance habits toward crypto’s momentum and trend-following behavior. The conversation covers his path into the market, moving from spot exposure to perpetual futures, and…
This weekly market review compares Bitcoin and Ether futures, perpetual funding, and options conditions. It tracks implied volatility term structures and 25-delta risk reversals, alongside annualized futures yields and perpetual funding rates. The report…
This weekly overview describes Bitcoin and Ether derivatives after a September 2024 Federal Reserve rate cut. It reports that spot prices and derivatives sentiment strengthened, while futures implied yields, which had been elevated at shorter maturities and…
The commentary examines Bitcoin derivatives around a report that the SEC might delay spot ETF approval. It describes how the rumor circulated amid elevated leverage, funding, and positive sentiment, alongside a sharp Bitcoin decline. The author says bullish…
The article links Bitcoin’s move above $100,000 to market catalysts including Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comparison of Bitcoin with gold, anticipated corporate shareholder action, and reported inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. It then discusses…
The article reviews Bitcoin’s retreat after briefly moving above the stated $100,000 level, alongside market conditions expected around the next U.S. administration and January macro events. In options, it reports that volatility had fallen before a sharp…
The article compares Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility with equity volatility during 2022. It defines delivered volatility as a rolling 30-day standard deviation of log returns and describes how crypto volatility had generally moved alongside the S&P 500…
The article considers how a possible U.S. government shutdown could delay agency work, including Bitcoin ETF decisions, and interrupt macroeconomic data releases. Against recent crypto inflows, it argues that Bitcoin might remain range-bound into year-end…
This explainer describes Ethereum’s transition from proof of work to proof of stake and the network design rationale behind it. It contrasts proof of work’s energy-intensive block lottery with proof of stake’s division of duties among block proposers,…
The article examines how Bitcoin’s identity depends on informal agreement about core values, since no central authority can settle disputes. It uses a questionnaire of the author’s Twitter followers, asking which changes might make them reject Bitcoin. The…
This market review tracks a sharp Bitcoin breakout and the related moves in Ether, using options volatility, skew, term structure, block trades, funding, and liquidation data. It describes implied and realized volatility rising, call skew strengthening as…
This weekly market note describes cautious options positioning amid a rebound in equity indexes and stable crypto spot prices. It points to firm implied volatility, elevated put skew, low trading volume, and continued demand for risk protection. Earlier put…
The article examines how Bitcoin and Ether moved relative to equities, foreign exchange, and gold during 2020. It explains volatility as a measure of price variation and correlation as a consideration for diversification, while warning that estimates can be…
The article proposes a defined-risk ETH bull call spread in anticipation of spot Ether ETF trading. The structure buys a lower-strike call and sells a higher-strike call with the same expiry, creating a net debit. The example uses the July 26 expiry, buying…
This market commentary tracks Bitcoin options activity around anticipated US futures ETF decisions in October 2021. It describes a period of accumulated call spreads and upside calls, alongside a notable short-dated put position interpreted as a hedge…
This guide explains how USDC-collateralized linear perpetuals differ from BTC-collateralized inverse contracts. Both can express exposure to a cryptocurrency against the dollar, and equivalent positions can produce the same dollar profit or loss. Their…
This podcast episode combines a discussion of digital asset infrastructure with a short-term crypto market review. The guest describes how blockchain, stablecoins, and tokenization could improve efficiency and transparency in financial markets, while the…
This weekly report examines BTC and ETH derivatives through a sharp selloff and subsequent spot-price rebound. It describes a large long liquidation event, declines below reported support levels, and outflows from spot ETFs. Short-tenor at-the-money implied…
This podcast listing outlines a discussion of crypto rates derivatives and market conditions. Its guest, the founder of Rho Labs, describes a platform offering rates products to more sophisticated clients. The listed topics include volatility in perpetual…
This commentary tracks how BTC options pricing shifted from a preference for downside protection toward a more balanced volatility smile. It compares SABR-calibrated implied volatility across strikes and tenors, noting that earlier smile flattening came from…