Resumos e ideias principais, escritos pelo agente de investigação da Stratmill, dos livros, artigos científicos, artigos e código consultados pelos nossos agentes de IA. Cada página inclui uma ligação para o original.
1,232 documentos
This weekly report reviews Bitcoin and Ether derivatives through annualized futures-implied yields, at-the-money implied volatility, volatility skew, and the shape of each asset’s volatility smile. It describes how those measures changed around a recent spot…
The episode discusses why Bitcoin fell after Bank of Japan rate-hike signals and whether the move reflects a renewed Japanese carry-trade unwind. The speakers argue that fears of rapid repatriation by Japanese investors are overstated because domestic…
This market report examines how the FTX and Alameda crisis affected crypto lending, derivatives, liquidations, and decentralized finance. It describes lenders recalling loans or demanding more collateral, a sharp reduction in new lending, and volatile…
This weekly market commentary interprets Bitcoin option flows during a volatile October 2022 period. It reports put selling across October and December expiries, October call buying funded in part by November calls, and small outlays on call butterflies…
The article reviews a period of rising crypto prices and options activity around the launch of Ethereum futures ETFs. It compares realized and implied volatility, term structures, ETH/BTC volatility spreads, and call versus put skew. The analysis links short…
This weekly flow note describes Bitcoin and Ether options activity during a market decline associated with a reported US crypto regulatory leak and an aggressive Ether sale attributed to protocol treasury holdings. It contrasts the episode with an earlier…
This podcast episode discusses a sharp rise in crypto assets following an election result, renewed talk of a possible US strategic Bitcoin reserve, and increased institutional interest. The hosts speak with a consultant who advises traditional finance firms…
The document presents a moderately bullish Bitcoin options trade based on RSI near 40%, a 50% Fibonacci retracement, and a reported higher-lows pattern on a four-hour chart. The proposed bull put spread sells a higher-strike put and buys a lower-strike put…
This market note tracks Bitcoin options activity during a sharp selloff tied to tariff threats. It describes traders selling March calls at high strikes, shifting some exposure into later expiries or lower strikes, and buying nearer-dated calls around lower…
This Portuguese-language lesson introduction defines option theta, also called time decay, as a measure of how an option's price is expected to change as time passes. It identifies implied volatility, time, and multi-leg option positions as related subjects…
The article presents a short strangle as a way to express the view that Bitcoin will remain between a nearby demand area and overhead supply. The example sells an out-of-the-money call at the upper boundary and an out-of-the-money put at the lower boundary,…
This commentary interprets large BTC and ETH option transactions by considering strike, expiry, premium, execution style, timing, and related trades together. It argues that a conspicuous sequence of BTC put purchases may not represent a simple bearish bet:…
This weekly report reviews crypto derivatives conditions for BTC and ETH after BTC reached a new record high and then traded within a stated price range. It tracks directional sentiment through perpetual swap funding, futures implied yields, at-the-money…
This beginner guide explains the exchange workflow for finding and trading an option. It describes locating an expiration in the option chain, identifying a strike and distinguishing calls from puts, opening an order form, and entering size and limit price.…
The trade idea pairs a long call at a lower strike with a short call at a higher strike, using the same Ether underlying and expiration. It is opened for a net debit and is intended for a moderately bullish view: gains are capped at expiration once Ether…
This weekly report reviews Bitcoin and Ether derivatives after a sharp recovery to pre-FTX price levels. It connects futures premiums and positive perpetual swap funding with increased demand for long exposure, while describing a rise in at-the-money implied…
This market commentary links Bitcoin’s move above $70,000 to ETF inflows, political sentiment, and other current events, while noting that geopolitical tensions and brief concerns about Tether had limited or temporary effects in the account presented. It…
This market-flow commentary describes substantial buying of Bitcoin calls across several expiries and strike levels, including short-dated activity and larger trades in later maturities. It reports a net premium outlay and estimates aggressive net vega…
This commentary considers how Bitcoin’s rally, subdued option pricing, and the possibility of sudden shocks can coexist. It cites the breakout to a new high in July 2025 and subsequent momentum, while noting that short liquidations may have contributed to…
This weekly report reviews BTC and ETH derivatives conditions using futures-implied yields, perpetual swap funding rates, option implied volatility, risk reversals, and volatility surfaces. It describes a rise in spot prices alongside higher futures yields…
This market commentary tracks Bitcoin options activity around a price decline and rebound. It describes traders selling October and November 70,000 calls and buying October puts with strikes from 57,000 to 60,000 amid speculation about US government selling.…
This weekly market note interprets BTC and ETH price action through options term structure, skew, open interest, cumulative volume delta, liquidations, and reported options flows. It describes front-end BTC implied volatility easing while longer-dated levels…
This article examines the potential market effects of SEC enforcement against crypto exchanges and token projects, focusing on altcoins, liquidity, and institutional access. It outlines a scenario in which securities classification could lead to delistings,…
The article walks through a bitcoin cash-and-carry trade: buy BTC in the spot market, short a similarly sized futures position, then close the futures short and sell the BTC when the futures premium has narrowed. The paired positions are intended to reduce…