Resumos e ideias principais, escritos pelo agente de investigação da Stratmill, dos livros, artigos científicos, artigos e código consultados pelos nossos agentes de IA. Cada página inclui uma ligação para o original.
1,232 documentos
This weekly market recap describes changing conditions in BTC and ETH futures, perpetual swaps, and options. It reports that implied volatility rose across maturities, with a pronounced short-dated spike in ETH after analysts raised the perceived chance of…
This podcast synopsis presents Joe Bryan’s argument that fiat money creation can weaken purchasing power and encourage short-term decision-making. He contrasts state-controlled money with Bitcoin’s fixed supply rules, energy-backed issuance, and ability to…
This podcast episode features a panel of women working in crypto discussing institutional adoption, Bitcoin treasury strategies, options markets, and industry careers. The description says Hilbert Group uses active management to seek yield while controlling…
This commentary compares Bitcoin and Ether option volatility smiles at one-week and one-month expiries. It measures skew using the implied-volatility difference between 10-delta calls and puts, and also discusses the SABR rho parameter, where negative values…
The commentary interprets a rally in Bitcoin and Ether through three derivatives indicators: perpetual swap funding, open interest, and futures-implied yields. Positive funding is described as the perpetual contract trading above spot, consistent with…
This report examines Bitcoin options data from April 2019 through December 2022 across distinct spot and volatility regimes. It studies at-the-money term structure, spot and volatility relationships, 25-delta risk-reversal skew, and variance risk premium.…
This market commentary interprets a sharp Bitcoin rebound through macro conditions and options-market measures. It links earlier weakness to hawkish Bank of Japan signals, soft Chinese data, risk aversion, and liquidation pressure, then points to improved US…
This exchange incident statement explains how a surge in activity during a volatile session contributed to two periods of unscheduled downtime. The platform was processing thousands of updates per second, largely from options market makers, while supporting…
This October 2022 commentary connects a crypto rebound to improving equity sentiment and a softer dollar, while arguing that the macroeconomic outlook remained restrictive. The authors expected rate decisions and inflation data to create event risk, despite…
This weekly report surveys BTC and ETH derivatives conditions through implied volatility, futures yields, perpetual swap funding, and options skew. It describes BTC as having a less inverted implied volatility curve than ETH, whose implied volatility traded…
This market commentary links a BTC recovery to macroeconomic developments and renewed spot ETF inflows, while noting that ETH lagged amid regulatory uncertainty and weaker ETF demand. It argues that stronger realized volatility followed a sharp selloff and…
The document outlines a defined-risk call butterfly on BTC for a trader expecting a modest short-term rise. The example buys one call at a lower strike, sells two calls at the middle strike, and buys one call at a higher strike, all expiring on April 3,…
The article presents blockchain security as an interaction among several defensive layers rather than a property supplied by any single mechanism. Its onion model moves from cryptographic protections, such as signatures and hash-linked blocks, through…
The note links strong spot Bitcoin ETF inflows with bullish options positioning. It describes funds paying premium for call spreads across June and July expiries, while a market maker buys June calls to cover short gamma supplied by repeated call selling.…
This weekly market recap reviews Bitcoin and Ether derivatives through futures yields, perpetual funding, at-the-money implied volatility, and options skew. It reports that implied volatility fell across maturities as both assets traded near the cited range…
This trade note proposes a defined-risk call butterfly as a way to express a bullish view around possible approval of a U.S. spot Ether ETF. The position buys one call at the lower strike, sells two calls at the middle strike, and buys one call at the upper…
This essay argues that concentrated Bitcoin hashpower weakens security guarantees without automatically making the network fail. Its central mechanism is economic commitment: specialized mining equipment loses value if Bitcoin is damaged, so miners with…
This article introduces Deribit’s Bitcoin perpetual swap and explains how perpetual contracts track spot without exchanging the underlying Bitcoin. Long and short traders settle price changes in the contract, while periodic funding payments encourage the…
The article explains implied volatility (IV) and realized volatility (RV) in crypto options, arguing that option prices reflect supply and demand as well as expectations about future volatility. Comparing IV with past RV can mislead because realized…
This market commentary examines crypto options positioning during an upward move in Bitcoin, amid speculation about a possible exchange traded fund catalyst. It describes demand for calls and call spreads across expiries, including structures that buy nearer…
This essay presents trading success as a mix of self-knowledge, disciplined preparation, and risk control. It argues that traders should question assumptions about who can succeed, while recognizing that trading is difficult and can cause serious financial…
This market commentary describes Bitcoin options activity as spot prices tested resistance. It reports aggressive buying of call options before the weekend, followed by a shift toward call spreads that finance lower-strike calls by selling higher-strike…
This weekly market recap interprets signals across Bitcoin and Ether derivatives, including futures yields, perpetual funding, implied volatility, and option skew. It describes Bitcoin spot reaching a new high while short-dated implied volatility declined…
This article explains why a long and short futures position with similar dollar values is not risk free. The trader remains exposed to changes in the price difference between contract expiries, and that spread can move sharply against the position. The…