Resumos e ideias principais, escritos pelo agente de investigação da Stratmill, dos livros, artigos científicos, artigos e código consultados pelos nossos agentes de IA. Cada página inclui uma ligação para o original.
1,232 documentos
This weekly recap tracks BTC and ETH futures, perpetual funding, and options during a pause in a broader decline in risk appetite. It reports that futures yields continued to fall and funding stayed negative, while the options market’s preference for…
This weekly option-flow note examines BTC and ETH trading around an FOMC meeting. Activity was light ahead of the event, implied volatility firmed only slightly, and skew was described as benign. After the meeting passed without a shock, spot and realized…
This weekly market recap interprets BTC and ETH derivatives data alongside spot-market conditions. It connects weak spot prices and ETF outflows with futures trading below spot, neutral-to-negative perpetual funding, and options skew that favors puts. The…
This weekly commentary surveys possible drivers of crypto market volatility, emphasizing that catalysts can come from outside digital assets. It discusses debate over bank custody rules for crypto and proposed stablecoin legislation, framing both as…
This review traces the FTX failure from early doubts about its finances through withdrawals, a liquidity halt, and bankruptcy. It argues that market fragility had built up after earlier institutional losses: locked or illiquid investments created funding…
This podcast episode features Deribit’s chief risk officer and a senior trader from Laser Digital discussing current crypto market developments. Topics include a Bitcoin rally following an assassination attempt on Donald Trump, the expected launch of Ether…
This commentary analyzes the market response to a court ruling that challenged the SEC’s reasoning for rejecting Grayscale’s proposed conversion of its Bitcoin trust to an ETF. It links the news to a rise in Bitcoin’s price and changing crypto options…
This commentary compares Bitcoin and Ether market behavior with US equities and gold. It uses rolling 30-day return correlations to describe crypto’s renewed relationship with equities and gold after correlations had been near zero in July. It also compares…
This weekly market review examines how a broad selloff affected Bitcoin and Ether spot prices and derivatives. It tracks futures yields, perpetual swap funding, at-the-money implied volatility, and 25-delta option risk reversals, with additional views of…
The article reviews disclosed positions associated with Michael Burry and Nancy Pelosi, then focuses on why an investor might use deep in-the-money call options instead of buying shares outright. Using a Google call example, it compares the capital required…
This market commentary examines how a false report of spot Bitcoin ETF approval triggered a rapid price spike, a subsequent correction, and a sharp rise in realized volatility. It connects those moves to option-market changes: short-dated implied volatility…
This weekly Bitcoin options note describes cautious positioning before the Thanksgiving holiday. It reports buying of short-dated puts and longer-dated risk reversals, alongside put-hedge profit taking and a put spread structure. The author interprets the…
The article compares Japan’s credit-fueled asset boom with crypto market activity, arguing that lending, low borrowing costs, and debt-backed asset creation can direct capital toward speculative markets. It describes Japan’s use of lending quotas, known as…
This commentary considers whether rising Treasury yields could expose financial-market vulnerabilities and compares the setting with conditions preceding the 1987 crash. It notes stress indicators including unrealized bank securities losses, weakness in a…
The article develops a bearish Ether thesis by combining chart support levels with an estimate of value based on Ethereum network revenue. It proposes a December 2023 put spread with strikes at 1,400 and 1,200, arguing that it could offer defined-cost…
This weekly market recap describes conditions in Bitcoin and Ether futures, perpetual swaps, and options. It compares annualized futures yields and funding rates, then reviews at-the-money implied volatility, 25-delta risk reversals, volatility surfaces, and…
This weekly report reviews Bitcoin and Ethereum derivatives during a spot price rally. It describes rising annualized futures yields and positive perpetual swap funding as signs of stronger bullish positioning, while implied volatility remained within a…
This market commentary describes Bitcoin ETF inflows as a source of spot market support while characterizing options activity as subdued and mostly technical. The author links rangebound trading in Bitcoin and Ethereum to lower realized volatility and…
This campaign notice describes a promotion for trading MATIC options and explains how a cash settled call payoff can be calculated at expiry. Its example uses a call with a stated strike and contract multiplier, then calculates the payoff from the difference…
The article argues that venture investment in crypto companies can reveal an indirect view on future crypto asset prices. It compares the growth of technology venture funding in the 1990s with crypto fundraising, noting that venture investment in internet…
This brief market note examines options activity after cascading spot and futures liquidations over a weekend. It observes that options closures were limited and that implied volatility, after an initial spike and retracement, did not show the sustained bid…
The article argues that high interest rates, subdued trading activity, and limited fresh liquidity constrained BTC and ETH during the summer period it discusses. It links muted prices and low volatility to reduced retail participation, institutional flows…
This weekly snapshot summarizes BTC and ETH derivatives conditions using perpetual funding, futures implied yields, at-the-money implied volatility, and options risk reversals. It reports BTC trading within a narrow band near its recent high after a brief…
The article interprets Bitcoin and Ether volatility markets amid expectations for spot Bitcoin ETF decisions. It reviews realized and implied volatility, term structures, carry, call skew, option flows, and dealer gamma positioning, then relates these…