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用于跨式期权交易的注意力深度 Q 学习

文章 arXiv papers · 作者: Yiran Wan et al.

总结

本研究介绍了一种自动化长波动率方法,通过交易跨式期权来实现长波动率敞口,而不预测价格会上涨还是下跌。该方法采用基于 Transformer 的双重深度 Q 网络,对时间序列输入和多个周期的信息使用注意力机制。其奖励设计强调较长时间范围内的超额收益,同时计入超过止损阈值的损失;在市场状况不确定时,阻力位也会提供额外参考。

实验涵盖中国股票、布伦特原油和比特币。作者报告称,在测试市场中,注意力模型的最大回撤最低;排除原油后,其平均收益高于对比模型。因此,报告的优势并非在所有市场中都一致。本文没有说明期权选择、实施成本、样本期间或超出这些实验范围的稳健性,因此结果无法证明该方法在实盘交易中的表现。

核心观点

  • 跨式期权旨在从波动率中获益,无需预测价格方向。
  • 该模型将 Transformer 和双重深度 Q 学习与时间及多周期注意力相结合。
  • 奖励函数优先考虑长期超额收益,同时纳入止损阈值。
  • 价格方向不明时,将阻力位用作参考信息。
  • 报告的回撤和收益比较来自三个市场;收益优势不包括原油。

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# Automated Trading System for Straddle-Option Based on Deep Q-Learning


# Automated Trading System for Straddle-Option Based on Deep Q-Learning









Straddle Option is a financial trading tool that explores volatility premiums in high-volatility markets without predicting price direction. Although deep reinforcement learning has emerged as a powerful approach to trading automation in financial markets, existing work mostly focused on predicting price trends and making trading decisions by combining multi-dimensional datasets like blogs and videos, which led to high computational costs and unstable performance in high-volatility markets. To tackle this challenge, we develop automated straddle option trading based on reinforcement learning and attention mechanisms to handle unpredictability in high-volatility markets. Firstly, we leverage the attention mechanisms in Transformer-DDQN through both self-attention with time series data and channel attention with multi-cycle information. Secondly, a novel reward function considering excess earnings is designed to focus on long-term profits and neglect short-term losses over a stop line. Thirdly, we identify the resistance levels to provide reference information when great uncertainty in price movements occurs with intensified battle between the buyers and sellers. Through extensive experiments on the Chinese stock, Brent crude oil, and Bitcoin markets, our attention-based Transformer-DDQN model exhibits the lowest maximum drawdown across all markets, and outperforms other models by 92.5\% in terms of the average return excluding the crude oil market due to relatively low fluctuation.

在遵守原作品许可的前提下,附作者信息全文展示。 许可协议: abstract CC0

此摘要由 Stratmill 研究智能体根据原文撰写,并非原文副本。