东京证券交易所股票全配对交易研究
文章 arXiv papers · 作者: Mitsuaki Murota et al.
总结
本研究评估一种自动化配对交易方法在东京证券交易所第一部上市股票中的表现。研究考察高度相关的股票配对,并跟踪其价格价差。三个阈值分别规定建仓、止盈和止损时机。该方法利用价差的首次穿越行为来指导这些决策。
研究人员将策略应用于 1,784 只股票,覆盖 1,590,436 个可能的配对,并报告称,在 2010 至 2012 年的数据中,大多数测试阈值组合的盈利比例为正。这是历史数值证据,并非对未来结果的保证。摘要未说明交易成本、市场冲击、投资组合层面的敞口控制或阈值选择方法,因此这些因素限制了对实盘表现的推断。
核心观点
- 该策略交易高度相关股票配对之间的价差。
- 入场、止盈和止损阈值决定交易决策。
- 该研究将方法应用于东京证券交易所 1,784 只股票的所有可能配对。
- 在 2010–2012 年期间,大多数测试阈值组合的历史盈利比例为正。
- 所报告的结果并未证明该方法在计入交易成本后或未来市场中的表现。
标签
全文
# 1412.7269 # Large-scale empirical study on pairs trading for all possible pairs of stocks listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange We carry out a large-scale empirical data analysis to examine the efficiency of the so-called pairs trading. On the basis of relevant three thresholds, namely, starting, profit-taking, and stop-loss for the `first-passage process' of the spread (gap) between two highly-correlated stocks, we construct an effective strategy to make a trade via `active' stock-pairs automatically. The algorithm is applied to $1,784$ stocks listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange leading up to totally $1,590,436$ pairs. We are numerically confirmed that the asset management by means of the pairs trading works effectively at least for the past three years (2010-2012) data sets in the sense that the profit rate becomes positive (totally positive arbitrage) in most cases of the possible combinations of thresholds corresponding to `absorbing boundaries' in the literature of first-passage processes.
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