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Usar factores Fama-French y AQR para ajustar el riesgo y crear referencias

Notebook Machine Learning for Trading

Resumen

Este documento presenta conjuntos públicos de datos de rendimientos de factores Fama-French y AQR como insumos para crear referencias, atribuir riesgos e investigar factores. Describe los factores de mercado, tamaño, valor, rentabilidad, inversión y momentum de la biblioteca Fama-French, junto con series de AQR sobre calidad, beta baja y conceptos alternativos de valor. Los datos tienen frecuencia mensual; los cargadores también admiten datos diarios de Fama-French y filtros por intervalo de fechas.

El flujo de trabajo abarca la descarga y el almacenamiento en caché de conjuntos de datos, su carga y perfilado, y el cálculo de la media anualizada, la volatilidad y el Sharpe a partir de rendimientos mensuales. La cobertura de los datos Fama-French descritos comienza en 1926, mientras que la cobertura de AQR varía según el factor; cada proveedor define sus propias series y formatos. El material es una guía para acceder a los datos y explorarlos, no evidencia de que ningún factor genere rendimientos persistentes. Al aplicar factores al ajuste del riesgo o a la evaluación del rendimiento, los investigadores deben tener en cuenta las definiciones de los proveedores, las fechas de actualización y los límites de las estadísticas resumidas.

Ideas clave

  • Los conjuntos de datos Fama-French ofrecen rendimientos de mercado, tamaño, valor, rentabilidad, inversión y momentum para referencias de investigación.
  • Los conjuntos de datos AQR incluyen series de factores de calidad, beta baja y valor alternativo, con cobertura específica para cada factor.
  • Se pueden cargar datos con frecuencia mensual y diaria, y limitar los análisis a un intervalo de fechas.
  • La media anualizada, la volatilidad y el Sharpe ofrecen resúmenes básicos, pero no demuestran el rendimiento futuro de los factores.
  • Los proveedores definen los factores y los formatos de datos; por ello, los resultados dependen de las series seleccionadas y su cobertura.

Etiquetas

Texto completo
# Academic Factor Data Dataset


# Academic Factor Data Dataset

Fama-French and AQR factor returns for benchmarking and risk adjustment.

| Property | Value |
|----------|-------|
| **Provider** | Ken French Library, AQR |
| **Asset Class** | Factor Returns |
| **Frequency** | Monthly (daily available) |
| **Factors** | FF3, FF5, Momentum, QMJ, BAB |
| **Coverage** | 1926-present (FF), varies (AQR) |
| **Size** | ~5 MB |
| **API Key** | None (free) |
| **Loader** | `load_ff_factors()`, `load_aqr_factors()` |

```python
"""Academic Factor Data - download, explore, and update workflow."""

from pathlib import Path

import polars as pl
```

## 1. Configuration

Academic factor data is **provider-defined** (no local config file). Each provider
maintains their own factor definitions and data format.

```python
print("=== Academic Factor Configuration ===")
print("\nFama-French (Ken French Library):")
print("  - FF3: Mkt-RF, SMB, HML")
print("  - FF5: FF3 + RMW, CMA")
print("  - Momentum: MOM")
print("  - Coverage: 1926-present")
print("\nAQR Research:")
print("  - QMJ: Quality Minus Junk")
print("  - BAB: Betting Against Beta")
print("  - VME: Value Minus Everything")
print("  - HML Devil: Industry-adjusted value")
print("  - Coverage: varies by factor")
```

## 2. API Key Setup

**No API key required.** Both Ken French Library and AQR provide free public access.

```python
print("Ken French Library: Free, no API key required")
print("  URL: https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html")
print("\nAQR Research: Free, no API key required")
print("  URL: https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Datasets")
```

## 3. Download Data

The `ml4t-data` library handles downloading and caching factor data.

```python
def download_ff_factors(
    datasets: list[str] | None = None, frequency: str = "monthly", dry_run: bool = False
):
    """Download Fama-French factor data.

    Args:
        datasets: Specific datasets to download (default: core factors)
        frequency: "monthly" or "daily"
        dry_run: If True, show what would be downloaded
    """
    from ml4t.data.providers.fama_french import FamaFrenchProvider

    from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH

    output_dir = ML4T_DATA_PATH / "factors" / "fama-french"

    # Default core datasets
    if datasets is None:
        datasets = ["ff3", "ff5", "mom"]

    print("=== Fama-French Download ===")
    print(f"Datasets: {datasets}")
    print(f"Frequency: {frequency}")
    print(f"Output: {output_dir}")

    if dry_run:
        print("\n[DRY RUN] Would download:")
        for ds in datasets:
            print(f"  - {ds}")
        return

    output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
    provider = FamaFrenchProvider(cache_path=output_dir, use_cache=True)

    print(f"\nDownloading {len(datasets)} datasets...")
    for dataset in datasets:
        print(f"  {dataset}...", end=" ", flush=True)
        try:
            df = provider.fetch(dataset, frequency=frequency)
            print(f"OK ({len(df):,} rows)")
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"ERROR: {e}")

    print("\n=== Complete ===")
    print(f"Data saved to: {output_dir}")


def download_aqr_factors(datasets: list[str] | None = None, dry_run: bool = False):
    """Download AQR factor data.

    Args:
        datasets: Specific datasets to download (default: core factors)
        dry_run: If True, show what would be downloaded
    """
    from ml4t.data.providers.aqr import AQRProvider

    from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH

    output_dir = ML4T_DATA_PATH / "factors" / "aqr"

    # Default core datasets
    if datasets is None:
        datasets = ["qmj", "bab"]

    print("=== AQR Download ===")
    print(f"Datasets: {datasets}")
    print(f"Output: {output_dir}")

    if dry_run:
        print("\n[DRY RUN] Would download:")
        for ds in datasets:
            print(f"  - {ds}")
        return

    output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
    provider = AQRProvider(cache_path=output_dir)

    print(f"\nDownloading {len(datasets)} datasets...")
    for dataset in datasets:
        print(f"  {dataset}...", end=" ", flush=True)
        try:
            df = provider.fetch(dataset)
            print(f"OK ({len(df):,} rows)")
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"ERROR: {e}")

    print("\n=== Complete ===")
    print(f"Data saved to: {output_dir}")
```

### Download Fama-French Factors

```python
# Uncomment to download
# download_ff_factors()
```

### Download AQR Factors

```python
# Uncomment to download
# download_aqr_factors()
```

### Dry Run (Preview)

```python
download_ff_factors(dry_run=True)
```

## 4. Load and Explore

Once downloaded, use the loaders throughout the book:

```python
from data import load_aqr_factors, load_ff_factors
```

### Fama-French Factors

```python
# Load Fama-French factors
ff = load_ff_factors()

print(f"Shape: {ff.shape}")
print(f"Columns: {ff.columns}")
print(f"Date range: {ff['timestamp'].min()} to {ff['timestamp'].max()}")
print(f"Memory: {ff.estimated_size('mb'):.1f} MB")
```

```python
# Preview
ff.tail(10)
```

```python
# Factor statistics (annualized)
factor_cols = [c for c in ff.columns if c not in ["timestamp", "date"]]
print("Factor Annualized Statistics (%):")
for col in factor_cols[:6]:
    series = ff[col].drop_nulls()
    mean_annual = series.mean() * 12  # Monthly to annual
    vol_annual = series.std() * (12**0.5)
    sharpe = mean_annual / vol_annual if vol_annual > 0 else 0
    print(f"  {col:8s}: mean={mean_annual:6.2f}, vol={vol_annual:6.2f}, SR={sharpe:.2f}")
```

### AQR Factors

```python
# Load AQR factors
aqr = load_aqr_factors()

print(f"Shape: {aqr.shape}")
print(f"Columns: {aqr.columns}")
print(f"Date range: {aqr['timestamp'].min()} to {aqr['timestamp'].max()}")
```

```python
# Preview
aqr.tail(10)
```

## 5. Data Profile

```python
from ml4t.data.storage.data_profile import get_profile_path, load_profile

from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH

for provider, subdir in [("Fama-French", "fama-french"), ("AQR", "aqr")]:
    profile_path = get_profile_path(ML4T_DATA_PATH / "factors" / subdir)
    profile = load_profile(profile_path)
    if profile is None:
        print(f"No {provider} profile at {profile_path}")
    else:
        print(f"=== {provider} Profile ===")
        print(f"Written by {profile.source}")
        print(profile.summary())

print(
    "\nff_download.py and aqr_download.py unzip the providers' own CSV releases and do\n"
    "not go through ml4t.data.storage.data_profile, so neither carries a profile today.\n"
    "Nothing in this notebook writes one either."
)
```

## 6. Loader Options

The loaders support filtering by frequency and date range:

```python
# Daily frequency
ff_daily = load_ff_factors(frequency="daily")
print(f"FF daily: {ff_daily.shape}")
```

```python
# Date range
recent_ff = load_ff_factors(start_date="2020-01-01")
print(f"FF 2020+: {recent_ff.shape}")
```

## 7. Documentation

### Fama-French Factors

From Ken French's Data Library:

| Factor | Description |
|--------|-------------|
| Mkt-RF | Market excess return |
| SMB | Small Minus Big (size) |
| HML | High Minus Low (value) |
| RMW | Robust Minus Weak (profitability) |
| CMA | Conservative Minus Aggressive (investment) |
| Mom | Momentum (12-1 month return) |

[Ken French Data Library](https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html)

### AQR Factors

Alternative factors from AQR Capital:

| Factor | Description |
|--------|-------------|
| QMJ | Quality Minus Junk (profitability, growth, safety) |
| BAB | Betting Against Beta (low-beta premium) |
| VME | Value Minus Everything (alternative value) |
| HML Devil | Value with industry adjustment |

[AQR Datasets](https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Datasets)

## 8. Updating Data

To update with the latest data:

```python
# Update Fama-French factors
download_ff_factors()

# Update AQR factors
download_aqr_factors()
```

Factor data is typically updated monthly.

## Summary

| Item | Value |
|------|-------|
| Providers | Ken French, AQR |
| Frequencies | Monthly, Daily |
| Coverage | 1926-present (FF), varies (AQR) |
| API Key | None (free) |
| Loaders | `load_ff_factors()`, `load_aqr_factors()` |

**Primary use**: Risk attribution, alpha measurement, factor investing research.

Se muestra íntegramente con atribución según la licencia de la fuente. Licencia: MIT

Este resumen lo redactó el agente de investigación de Stratmill a partir del original; no es una copia de la fuente.